Mławianka Mława vs Warta Sieradz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I · Matchday 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR Mlawa, Mlawa
The Footlab AI model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Mławianka Mława. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,219 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mławianka Mława vs Warta Sieradz?
Warta Sieradz starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (1,837 vs 1,651).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mławianka Mława vs Warta Sieradz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mławianka Mława
Not enough data to predict the Mławianka Mława lineup.
Warta Sieradz
Not enough data to predict the Warta Sieradz lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 12:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mławianka Mława have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Warta Sieradz have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 6, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mławianka Mława wins, 0 draws, 3 Warta Sieradz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warta Sieradz 1-2 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Mławianka Mława 2-3 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Warta Sieradz 3-0 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 24, 2025 | Mławianka Mława 4-0 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Warta Sieradz 2-0 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Warta Sieradz 0-2 Mławianka Mława | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Warta Sieradz vs Mławianka Mława on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mławianka Mława score 1.8 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Sieradz score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mławianka Mława | 1.8 | 2.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Warta Sieradz | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mławianka Mława sit 16th in III Liga - Group 1 (14 points from 16 matches) and Warta Sieradz sit 5th (29 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warta Sieradz | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 29 |
| 16 | Mławianka Mława | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 44 | 14 |
A question about Mławianka Mława vs Warta Sieradz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mławianka Mława vs Warta Sieradz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Mławianka Mława.
- Where and when is Mławianka Mława vs Warta Sieradz played?
- Mławianka Mława vs Warta Sieradz is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR Mlawa, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026ŁomżavsPelikan Łowicz
- Nov 21, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Nov 21, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Nov 21, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsOlimpia Zambrów
- Nov 21, 2026TroszynvsWidzew II
- Nov 21, 2026SwitvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Nov 21, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsWigry Suwałki
- Nov 21, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsWeszlo