Mogila vs Aresimi: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on September 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Aresimi the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Mogila. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mogila vs Aresimi?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 0 matches in all competitions, Mogila have 0 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Aresimi have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shkëndija Haraçinë(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bashkimi Kumanovo(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(away) | 0-4 | First League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tikveš(away) | 1-5 | First League |
| May 23, 2026 | Struga(home) | 1-0 | First League |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mogila vs Aresimi?
- The Footlab model makes Aresimi the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Mogila.
- Where and when is Mogila vs Aresimi played?
- Mogila vs Aresimi is played on September 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.