Osogovo vs Belasica: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Nikola Mantov, Kočani
The Footlab model makes Belasica the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Osogovo. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osogovo vs Belasica?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Osogovo (1,343) and Belasica (1,442).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osogovo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Belasica have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kamjani(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Belasica(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| May 23, 2026 | Novaci(away) | 3-3 | Second League |
| May 16, 2026 | Bregalnica Štip(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| May 10, 2026 | Vardar Negotino(away) | 4-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Novaci(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Osogovo(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FK Rabotnicki(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Detonit Plachkovica(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kozuv Gevgelija(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Osogovo win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Belasica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Belasica 1-0 Osogovo | Second League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Belasica 0-0 Osogovo | Second League |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Osogovo 0-3 Belasica | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Osogovo 3-1 Belasica | Second League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Osogovo 0-0 Belasica | Second League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Belasica 1-0 Osogovo | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Osogovo score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Belasica score 1.3 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osogovo | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Belasica | 1.3 | 0.4 | 10 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osogovo vs Belasica?
- The Footlab model makes Belasica the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Osogovo.
- Where and when is Osogovo vs Belasica played?
- Osogovo vs Belasica is played on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Nikola Mantov, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.