Molde vs Stromsgodset: prediction and stats
NM CupenRound of 32Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Aker Stadion, Molde
The Footlab AI model makes Stromsgodset the favourite at 75%, against 14% for a draw and 11% for Molde. The most likely score is 1-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,247 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Molde vs Stromsgodset?
On Elo ratings, Molde has 2,024 points and Stromsgodset 1,978.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Molde vs Stromsgodset
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Molde
4-4-2- 10E. Breivik
- 20K. Lonebu
- 23S. Granaas
- 16S. Kilen
- 11C. Zady Sery
- 30D. Daga
- 25M. Linnes
- 27F. Dahl
- 8M. Løvik
- 19E. Haugan
- 22A. Posiadała
Stromsgodset
4-3-3- 9E. Melkersen
- 11S. Pingel
- 16F. Ardraa
- 10H. Stengel
- 8K. Krasniqi
- 22K. Antonsen
- 71G. Valsvik
- 25J. Taaje
- 3V. Dedes
- 26L. Vilsvik
- 1M. Lamhauge
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 09:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Molde have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Stromsgodset have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Start(home) | 6-1 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 2-2 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aalesund(home) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Trygg/Lade(away) | 5-0 | NM Cupen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Haugesund(home) | 5-0 | 1. Division |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Kongsvinger(home) | 5-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lyn(away) | 5-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Asane(home) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Raufoss(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Molde wins, 2 draws, 2 Stromsgodset wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Stromsgodset 1-1 Molde | NM Cupen |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Stromsgodset 3-1 Molde | Eliteserien |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Molde 4-1 Stromsgodset | Eliteserien |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Stromsgodset 1-0 Molde | Eliteserien |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Molde 4-0 Stromsgodset | Eliteserien |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Stromsgodset 1-1 Molde | Eliteserien |
Last archived meeting: Stromsgodset vs Molde on Sep 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Molde score 3.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stromsgodset score 3.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molde | 3.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
| Stromsgodset | 3.0 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Molde vs Stromsgodset?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Molde vs Stromsgodset?
- The Footlab AI model makes Stromsgodset the favourite at 75%, against 14% for a draw and 11% for Molde.
- Where and when is Molde vs Stromsgodset played?
- Molde vs Stromsgodset is played on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Aker Stadion, in the NM Cupen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.