Ranheim vs Fredrikstad: prediction and stats
NM CupenRound of 32Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)EXTRA Arena, Ranheim
The Footlab AI model makes Fredrikstad the favourite at 86%, against 9% for a draw and 5% for Ranheim. The most likely score is 0-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,319 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ranheim vs Fredrikstad?
Fredrikstad starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,970 vs 1,826).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ranheim vs Fredrikstad
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ranheim
4-3-3- 17F. Nyenetue
- 9S. Haugland
- 20A. Fossli
- 10M. Johnsen
- 8O. Kvendbø Holden
- 4T. Kongerud
- 19J. Pereira
- 15K. Rolstad
- 5N. Pallas
- 22T. Haukeberg
- 1J. Storevik
Fredrikstad
3-4-3- 18B. Fiabema
- 11L. West
- 23H. Skogvold
- 6S. Leach Holm
- 16D. Eid
- 13S. Sørløkk
- 14M. Nilsson
- 4F. Holmé
- 28S. Owusu
- 38I. Amundsen
- 77M. Børsheim
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 11:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ranheim have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Fredrikstad have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Raufoss(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Bryne(home) | 4-2 | 1. Division |
| Oct 14, 2026 | hodd(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kongsvinger(away) | 2-6 | 1. Division |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Egersund(home) | 5-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Viking(away) | 2-3 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tromso(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Valerenga(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Stjørdals-Blink(away) | 1-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ranheim win, 2 draws, 3 Fredrikstad wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2023 | Ranheim 1-2 Fredrikstad | 1. Division |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Fredrikstad 4-0 Ranheim | 1. Division |
| Aug 14, 2022 | Fredrikstad 1-1 Ranheim | 1. Division |
| May 29, 2022 | Ranheim 3-2 Fredrikstad | 1. Division |
| Nov 27, 2021 | Fredrikstad 3-1 Ranheim | 1. Division |
| Jul 2, 2021 | Ranheim 1-1 Fredrikstad | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Ranheim vs Fredrikstad on Sep 23, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Ranheim score 2.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fredrikstad score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ranheim | 2.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Fredrikstad | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Ranheim vs Fredrikstad?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ranheim vs Fredrikstad?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fredrikstad the favourite at 86%, against 9% for a draw and 5% for Ranheim.
- Where and when is Ranheim vs Fredrikstad played?
- Ranheim vs Fredrikstad is played on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at EXTRA Arena, in the NM Cupen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.