Brann vs Molde: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 25Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Brann Stadion, Bergen
The Footlab model makes Brann the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Molde. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brann vs Molde?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Brann (2,051) and Molde (1,995).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brann have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Molde have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | PAOK(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(away) | 4-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Apollon Limassol(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rosenborg(home) | 3-2 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Midsund(away) | 11-0 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tromso(home) | 3-2 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(home) | 3-3 | Eliteserien |
| Jul 26, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(away) | 4-2 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Brann win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Molde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Molde 1-2 Brann | Eliteserien |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Molde 4-0 Brann | Eliteserien |
| May 29, 2025 | Brann 0-3 Molde | Eliteserien |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Molde 2-1 Brann | Eliteserien |
| May 26, 2024 | Brann 1-3 Molde | Eliteserien |
| Mar 19, 2024 | Molde 1-0 Brann | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Brann score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Molde score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brann | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Molde | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brann sit 6th in Eliteserien (25 points from 17 matches) and Molde sit 4th (27 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Molde | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 27 |
| 6 | Brann | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 27 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brann vs Molde?
- The Footlab model makes Brann the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Molde.
- Where and when is Brann vs Molde played?
- Brann vs Molde is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Brann Stadion, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.