Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga: prediction and stats
NM CupenRound of 32Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg
The Footlab AI model makes Valerenga the favourite at 72%, against 15% for a draw and 13% for Sarpsborg 08 FF. The most likely score is 1-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 3,229 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?
On Elo ratings, Sarpsborg 08 FF has 1,943 points and Valerenga 1,937.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4-4-2- 11D. Karlsbakk
- 33A. Nibe
- 77O. Skarsem
- 8S. Christiansen
- 10S. Sørli
- 17N. Williams
- 4B. Utvik
- 32E. Wichne
- 24S. Rosted
- 20P. Reinhardsen
- 87L. Øy
Valerenga
4-4-2- 90O. Saeter
- 17M. Grundetjern
- 77L. Haren
- 10C. Lange
- 11G. Zahid
- 24P. Strand
- 55S. Jarl
- 4A. Kiil Olsen
- 26D. Gjengaar
- 3H. Sjåtil
- 1O. Hedvall
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 05:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarpsborg 08 FF have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Valerenga have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rosenborg(home) | 0-3 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Aalesund(away) | 4-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Follo(away) | 2-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 18, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(home) | 1-3 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fredrikstad(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(away) | 1-0 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Brann(home) | 3-1 | Eliteserien |
| Oct 12, 2026 | KFUM Oslo(away) | 1-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fredrikstad(home) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Skeid(away) | 4-1 | NM Cupen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sarpsborg 08 FF wins, 2 draws, 4 Valerenga wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-2 Valerenga | Eliteserien |
| May 16, 2026 | Valerenga 3-2 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Valerenga 4-0 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Eliteserien |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-1 Valerenga | Eliteserien |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Valerenga 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Valerenga 5-3 Sarpsborg 08 FF | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sarpsborg 08 FF score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Valerenga score 2.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Valerenga | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Valerenga the favourite at 72%, against 15% for a draw and 13% for Sarpsborg 08 FF.
- Where and when is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga played?
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga is played on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sarpsborg Stadion, in the NM Cupen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.