Flaminia vs Montevarchi Calcio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Turiddu Madami, Civita Castellana
The Footlab AI model makes Flaminia the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Montevarchi Calcio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Flaminia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flaminia vs Montevarchi Calcio?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Flaminia (1,649) and Montevarchi Calcio (1,609).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Flaminia vs Montevarchi Calcio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Flaminia
Not enough data to predict the Flaminia lineup.
Montevarchi Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Montevarchi Calcio lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flaminia have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Montevarchi Calcio have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Seravezza(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 0-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gavorrano(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rondinella(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Progresso(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Seravezza(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Flaminia wins, 2 draws, 1 Montevarchi Calcio win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | Montevarchi Calcio 2-1 Flaminia | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Flaminia 2-2 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Montevarchi Calcio 2-2 Flaminia | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Montevarchi Calcio vs Flaminia on Jan 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Flaminia score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Montevarchi Calcio score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flaminia | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flaminia sit 6th in Serie D - Girone E (11 points from 6 matches) and Montevarchi Calcio sit 12th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Flaminia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 12 | Montevarchi Calcio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Flaminia vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flaminia vs Montevarchi Calcio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Flaminia the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Montevarchi Calcio.
- Where and when is Flaminia vs Montevarchi Calcio played?
- Flaminia vs Montevarchi Calcio is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Turiddu Madami, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 15, 2026PratovsTau Altopascio
- Nov 15, 2026GavorranovsLucchese
- Nov 15, 2026Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanovsTernana
- Nov 15, 2026MezzolaravsScandicci
- Nov 15, 2026Sasso Marconi ZolavsRondinella
- Nov 15, 2026GrassinavsSeravezza
- Nov 15, 2026San Donato TavarnellevsRobur Siena
- Nov 15, 2026Terranuova TraianavsProgresso