Match

Flaminia vs Montevarchi Calcio: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Turiddu Madami, Civita Castellana

FlaminiaMontevarchi Calcio

The Footlab model makes Flaminia the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Montevarchi Calcio. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Flaminia vs Montevarchi Calcio?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Flaminia (1,756) and Montevarchi Calcio (1,693).

Flaminia win47 %
Draw29 %
Montevarchi Calcio win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flaminia have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Montevarchi Calcio have 5, 9 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Flaminia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 26, 2026Lazio(away)0-6Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Monastir(away)3-3Serie D - Girone G
May 3, 2026Montespaccato(away)4-2Serie D - Girone G
Apr 26, 2026Budoni(home)0-1Serie D - Girone G
Apr 19, 2026Nocerina(away)1-1Serie D - Girone G
Montevarchi Calcio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Figline(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Prato(away)0-1Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home)1-0Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026Robur Siena(away)0-0Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026Terranuova Traiana(home)1-1Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Flaminia win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Montevarchi Calcio win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 5, 2025Montevarchi Calcio 2-1 FlaminiaSerie D - Girone E
Sep 8, 2024Flaminia 2-2 Montevarchi CalcioSerie D - Girone E
Nov 17, 2019Montevarchi Calcio 2-2 FlaminiaSerie D - Girone E

Last archived meeting: Montevarchi Calcio vs Flaminia on Jan 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Flaminia score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Montevarchi Calcio score 0.7 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Flaminia1.61.449/157/15
Montevarchi Calcio0.70.3104/150/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Montevarchi Calcio3410168283246

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Flaminia vs Montevarchi Calcio?
The Footlab model makes Flaminia the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Montevarchi Calcio.
Where and when is Flaminia vs Montevarchi Calcio played?
Flaminia vs Montevarchi Calcio is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Turiddu Madami, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Flaminia and Montevarchi Calcio

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