Where and when is Moravia Morawica vs Star Starachowice played?

Moravia Morawica vs Star Starachowice is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Moravia Morawica vs Star Starachowice: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Moravia Morawica

Star Starachowice

The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Moravia Morawica. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Moravia Morawica vs Star Starachowice?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Moravia Morawica (1,711) and Star Starachowice (1,764).

Moravia Morawica win37 %

Draw25 %

Star Starachowice win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Moravia Morawica have 2 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Star Starachowice have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Moravia Morawica
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Naprzód(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Chełmianka Chełm(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4

Star Starachowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Busko-Zdroj(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(away)	0-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 9, 2026	KSZO 1929(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Moravia Morawica win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Star Starachowice win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 17, 2026	Star Starachowice 2-2 Moravia Morawica	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 30, 2026	Star Starachowice 7-0 Moravia Morawica	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Star Starachowice vs Moravia Morawica on Jul 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Moravia Morawica score 1.1 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 9; Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Moravia Morawica	1.1	2.7	1	3/9	6/9
Star Starachowice	1.3	1.9	2	11/15	10/15

Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Moravia Morawica sit 11th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Star Starachowice sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Moravia Morawica	5	2	0	3	6	8	6
15	Star Starachowice	5	1	2	2	5	8	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Moravia Morawica vs Star Starachowice?: The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Moravia Morawica.
Where and when is Moravia Morawica vs Star Starachowice played?: Moravia Morawica vs Star Starachowice is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.