Match

Naprzód vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Naprzód, Jędrzejów

NaprzódPodlasie Biała Podlaska

The Footlab model makes Podlasie Biała Podlaska the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Naprzód. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Naprzód vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?

Podlasie Biała Podlaska starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,792 vs 1,688).

Naprzód win25 %
Draw24 %
Podlasie Biała Podlaska win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naprzód have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Podlasie Biała Podlaska have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Naprzód
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(home)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Moravia Morawica(away)2-4III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home)2-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026Korona Kielce II(home)5-4III Liga - Group 4
Podlasie Biała Podlaska
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Jarosław(away)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Busko-Zdroj(home)2-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Czarni Połaniec(away)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 7, 2026Hetman Zamosc(home)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026KSZO 1929(away)0-1III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Naprzód win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Podlasie Biała Podlaska win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 1, 2026Naprzód 4-4 Podlasie Biała PodlaskaIII Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2025Podlasie Biała Podlaska 2-3 NaprzódIII Liga - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Naprzód vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Naprzód score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Podlasie Biała Podlaska score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Naprzód1.51.827/159/15
Podlasie Biała Podlaska1.91.149/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Naprzód sit 12th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Podlasie Biała Podlaska sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Podlasie Biała Podlaska5212557
12Naprzód52039136

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Naprzód vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
The Footlab model makes Podlasie Biała Podlaska the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Naprzód.
Where and when is Naprzód vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska played?
Naprzód vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Naprzód, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Naprzód and Podlasie Biała Podlaska

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