Naprzód vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Naprzód, Jędrzejów
The Footlab model makes Podlasie Biała Podlaska the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Naprzód. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naprzód vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
Podlasie Biała Podlaska starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,792 vs 1,688).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naprzód have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Podlasie Biała Podlaska have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(home) | 5-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jarosław(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Naprzód win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Podlasie Biała Podlaska win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Naprzód 4-4 Podlasie Biała Podlaska | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska 2-3 Naprzód | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Naprzód vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Naprzód score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Podlasie Biała Podlaska score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naprzód | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naprzód sit 12th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Podlasie Biała Podlaska sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Naprzód | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naprzód vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
- The Footlab model makes Podlasie Biała Podlaska the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Naprzód.
- Where and when is Naprzód vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska played?
- Naprzód vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Naprzód, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Chełmianka ChełmvsWiślanie Jaśkowice
- Nov 7, 2026KSZO 1929vsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Nov 7, 2026Hetman ZamoscvsWisłoka Dębica
- Nov 7, 2026Czarni PołaniecvsSokół Kolb.
- Nov 7, 2026Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsKorona Kielce II
- Nov 7, 2026Wisła Kraków IIvsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Nov 7, 2026Moravia MorawicavsStar Starachowice
- Nov 7, 2026Busko-ZdrojvsJarosław