Czarni Połaniec vs Sokół Kolb.: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MKS Czarni Połaniec, Połaniec
The Footlab model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Sokół Kolb.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Czarni Połaniec vs Sokół Kolb.?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Czarni Połaniec (1,774) and Sokół Kolb. (1,713).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Czarni Połaniec have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Sokół Kolb. have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Star Starachowice(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jarosław(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Czarni Połaniec win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sokół Kolb. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2026 | Sokół Kolb. 2-1 Czarni Połaniec | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 13, 2026 | Sokół Kolb. 2-1 Czarni Połaniec | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Sokół Kolb. 0-2 Czarni Połaniec | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Czarni Połaniec 2-0 Sokół Kolb. | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Sokół Kolb. vs Czarni Połaniec on Jul 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Czarni Połaniec score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sokół Kolb. score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Czarni Połaniec | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Sokół Kolb. | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Czarni Połaniec sit 5th in III Liga - Group 4 (9 points from 5 matches) and Sokół Kolb. sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Czarni Połaniec | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 13 | Sokół Kolb. | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Czarni Połaniec vs Sokół Kolb.?
- The Footlab model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Sokół Kolb..
- Where and when is Czarni Połaniec vs Sokół Kolb. played?
- Czarni Połaniec vs Sokół Kolb. is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MKS Czarni Połaniec, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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