Where and when is Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin played?

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin

Pogon Szczecin

The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Pogon Szczecin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Zaglebie Lubin (1,948) and Pogon Szczecin (1,991).

Zaglebie Lubin win45 %

Draw28 %

Pogon Szczecin win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Lubin have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Pogon Szczecin have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zaglebie Lubin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Radomiak Radom(away)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Slask Wroclaw(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026	Legia Warszawa(away)	1-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026	Piast Gliwice(home)	2-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

Pogon Szczecin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Motor Lublin(home)	3-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 3, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	2-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 24, 2026	Legia Warszawa(home)	0-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 15, 2026	Sturm Graz(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Fenerbahçe(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Zaglebie Lubin win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Pogon Szczecin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 4, 2026	Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 Pogon Szczecin	Friendlies Clubs
May 15, 2026	Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa
Nov 24, 2025	Pogon Szczecin 5-1 Zaglebie Lubin	Ekstraklasa
Feb 1, 2025	Pogon Szczecin 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin	Ekstraklasa
Dec 4, 2024	Pogon Szczecin 4-3 Zaglebie Lubin	Cup
Jul 28, 2024	Zaglebie Lubin 2-2 Pogon Szczecin	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin on Jul 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pogon Szczecin score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Zaglebie Lubin	1.3	0.9	7	4/15	6/15
Pogon Szczecin	1.4	1.1	5	6/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zaglebie Lubin sit 5th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Pogon Szczecin sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Zaglebie Lubin	4	2	1	1	5	4	7
6	Pogon Szczecin	3	2	0	1	5	2	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?: The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Pogon Szczecin.
Where and when is Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin played?: Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.