Where and when is Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia played?

Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:45 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:45 PM (UTC)Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, Częstochowa

Raków Częstochowa

Jagiellonia

The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Jagiellonia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Raków Częstochowa (2,031) and Jagiellonia (2,057).

Raków Częstochowa win53 %

Draw24 %

Jagiellonia win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raków Częstochowa have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Jagiellonia have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Raków Częstochowa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	HNK Hajduk Split(away)	2-2	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026	Hammarby FF(away)	1-0	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026	Hammarby FF(home)	0-0	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026	Slask Wroclaw(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Saburtalo(home)	4-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 13, 2026	Rangers(away)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	0-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026	Rangers(home)	2-1	UEFA Europa League
Jul 31, 2026	Motor Lublin(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Raków Częstochowa win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Jagiellonia win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 13, 2026	Raków Częstochowa 0-2 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Nov 2, 2025	Jagiellonia 1-2 Raków Częstochowa	Ekstraklasa
May 10, 2025	Raków Częstochowa 1-2 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Nov 10, 2024	Jagiellonia 2-2 Raków Częstochowa	Ekstraklasa
Dec 10, 2023	Jagiellonia 4-2 Raków Częstochowa	Ekstraklasa
Jul 22, 2023	Raków Częstochowa 3-0 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia on May 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Raków Częstochowa	1.7	1.3	5	9/15	10/15
Jagiellonia	1.7	0.7	7	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Raków Częstochowa sit 18th in Ekstraklasa (0 points from 3 matches) and Jagiellonia sit 9th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	3	3	6
18	Raków Częstochowa	3	0	0	3	3	6	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?: The Footlab model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Jagiellonia.
Where and when is Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia played?: Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:45 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.