Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Warszawa
The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Slask Wroclaw. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Legia Warszawa (2,056) and Slask Wroclaw (1,958).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Legia Warszawa have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Slask Wroclaw have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 5-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 3-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(home) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Legia Warszawa win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Slask Wroclaw win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | Legia Warszawa 3-1 Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Legia Warszawa 0-0 Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Slask Wroclaw 4-0 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| May 27, 2023 | Legia Warszawa 3-1 Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Slask Wroclaw 0-0 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw on Mar 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Legia Warszawa score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Slask Wroclaw score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Legia Warszawa | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Slask Wroclaw | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Legia Warszawa sit 1st in Ekstraklasa (11 points from 5 matches) and Slask Wroclaw sit 11th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | Slask Wroclaw | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw?
- The Footlab model makes Legia Warszawa the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Slask Wroclaw.
- Where and when is Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw played?
- Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Wisla PlockvsKorona Kielce
- Aug 29, 2026Radomiak RadomvsCracovia Krakow
- Aug 29, 2026Motor LublinvsPiast Gliwice
- Aug 29, 2026Wisla KrakowvsWieczysta Kraków
- Aug 29, 2026Zaglebie LubinvsPogon Szczecin
- Aug 30, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsJagiellonia
- Aug 30, 2026Gornik ZabrzevsGKS Katowice
- Aug 30, 2026Widzew ŁódźvsLech Poznan