Munkebo vs Næsby: prediction and stats
DBU PokalenRound of 64Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Næsby the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for Munkebo. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Munkebo vs Næsby?
Næsby starts as the favourite with a 241-point Elo edge (1,758 vs 1,516).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Munkebo have 1 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Næsby have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Morud(home) | 3-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 4, 2022 | Kerteminde(home) | 0-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ishøj(away) | 5-1 | 3. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brønshøj(home) | 0-0 | 3. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vanløse(away) | 0-3 | 3. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kolding B(away) | 3-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sundby(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Munkebo score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 2; Næsby score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Munkebo | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 1/2 | 1/2 |
| Næsby | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Munkebo vs Næsby?
- The Footlab model makes Næsby the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for Munkebo.
- Where and when is Munkebo vs Næsby played?
- Munkebo vs Næsby is played on August 25, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC), in the DBU Pokalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.