Muzinga vs Aigle Noir: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Intwari, Bujumbura
The Footlab AI model makes Aigle Noir the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Muzinga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aigle Noir wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Muzinga vs Aigle Noir?
Aigle Noir starts as the favourite with a 243-point Elo edge (1,701 vs 1,458).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Muzinga vs Aigle Noir
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Muzinga
Not enough data to predict the Muzinga lineup.
Aigle Noir
Not enough data to predict the Aigle Noir lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muzinga have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Aigle Noir have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(away) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Olympic Star(home) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Musongati(away) | 3-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Panthere Noir(home) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kayanza United(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ngozi City(home) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Vital'O(away) | 2-3 | Ligue A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 0-2 | CAF Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Muzinga wins, 1 draw, 3 Aigle Noir wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Aigle Noir 4-1 Muzinga | Ligue A |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Muzinga 2-2 Aigle Noir | Ligue A |
| Apr 30, 2021 | Muzinga 1-4 Aigle Noir | Ligue A |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Aigle Noir 2-0 Muzinga | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Aigle Noir vs Muzinga on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Muzinga score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aigle Noir score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muzinga | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Aigle Noir | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Muzinga sit 2nd in Ligue A (10 points from 5 matches) and Aigle Noir sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Muzinga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Aigle Noir | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Muzinga vs Aigle Noir?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Muzinga vs Aigle Noir?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aigle Noir the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Muzinga.
- Where and when is Muzinga vs Aigle Noir played?
- Muzinga vs Aigle Noir is played on November 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Intwari, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.