Rukinzo vs Inter Star: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Intwari, Bujumbura
The Footlab model makes Rukinzo the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Inter Star. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rukinzo vs Inter Star?
Rukinzo starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,618 vs 1,441).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rukinzo have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Inter Star have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Musongati(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Panthere Noir(home) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bumamuru(away) | 4-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ngozi City(home) | 4-2 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Never Give Up Academy(home) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vital'O(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(away) | 0-3 | Ligue A |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Olympic Star(home) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Musongati(away) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Rukinzo win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Inter Star win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | Inter Star 2-2 Rukinzo | Ligue A |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Rukinzo 2-0 Inter Star | Ligue A |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Rukinzo 1-1 Inter Star | Ligue A |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Inter Star 1-3 Rukinzo | Ligue A |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Inter Star 1-4 Rukinzo | Ligue A |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Rukinzo 2-1 Inter Star | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Inter Star vs Rukinzo on Mar 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rukinzo score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Inter Star score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rukinzo | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Inter Star | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rukinzo sit 4th in Ligue A (4 points from 2 matches) and Inter Star sit 11th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rukinzo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Inter Star | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rukinzo vs Inter Star?
- The Footlab model makes Rukinzo the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Inter Star.
- Where and when is Rukinzo vs Inter Star played?
- Rukinzo vs Inter Star is played on November 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Intwari, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.