Bumamuru vs Royal Vision: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC)Stade Urunani, Buganda
The Footlab model makes Royal Vision the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Bumamuru. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bumamuru vs Royal Vision?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Bumamuru (1,545) and Royal Vision (1,542).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bumamuru have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Royal Vision have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Panthere Noir(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(home) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Musongati(away) | 0-3 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rukinzo(home) | 0-4 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Green Farmers FC(away) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olympic Star(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Musongati(home) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Vital'O(home) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Aigle Noir(home) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(away) | 1-0 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Bumamuru win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Royal Vision win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Bumamuru 3-1 Royal Vision | Ligue A |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Royal Vision 0-2 Bumamuru | Ligue A |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Royal Vision 0-2 Bumamuru | Ligue A |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Bumamuru 2-0 Royal Vision | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Bumamuru vs Royal Vision on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bumamuru score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Royal Vision score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bumamuru | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Royal Vision | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bumamuru sit 14th in Ligue A (1 points from 2 matches) and Royal Vision sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Royal Vision | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 14 | Bumamuru | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bumamuru vs Royal Vision?
- The Footlab model makes Royal Vision the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Bumamuru.
- Where and when is Bumamuru vs Royal Vision played?
- Bumamuru vs Royal Vision is played on November 4, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC) at Stade Urunani, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.