Musongati vs Young Star: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Ingoma, Gitega
The Footlab AI model makes Musongati the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Young Star. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 3,331 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Musongati vs Young Star?
Musongati starts as the favourite with a 229-point Elo edge (1,634 vs 1,405).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Musongati vs Young Star
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Musongati
4-3-3- 14E. Nibibona
- 20S. Ndizeye
- 10S. Halidi
- 6A. Mugisha
- 4A. Ntahobari
- 7A. Musore
- 3E. Nimubona
- 2M. Muryango
- 13I. Nsabimana
- 9J. Othieno
- 1L. Sakubu
Young Star
Not enough data to predict the Young Star lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 07:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Musongati have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Young Star have 1, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Inter Star(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Panthere Noir(away) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(home) | 3-1 | Ligue A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Never Give Up Academy(away) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Muzinga(home) | 0-3 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Never Give Up Academy(home) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Muzinga(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Bumamuru(home) | 0-3 | Ligue A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rukinzo(away) | 0-7 | Ligue A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Royal Vision(home) | 1-5 | Ligue A |
How many goals should we expect?
Musongati score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Young Star score 0.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musongati | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Young Star | 0.6 | 2.5 | 2 | 3/8 | 4/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Musongati sit 6th in Ligue A (10 points from 7 matches) and Young Star sit 15th (2 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Musongati | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Young Star | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 2 |
A question about Musongati vs Young Star?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Musongati vs Young Star?
- The Footlab AI model makes Musongati the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Young Star.
- Where and when is Musongati vs Young Star played?
- Musongati vs Young Star is played on November 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Ingoma, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.