Match

Nanjing City vs Shaanxi Union: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 7, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)

Nanjing CityShaanxi Union

The Footlab model makes Shaanxi Union the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Nanjing City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nanjing City vs Shaanxi Union?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Nanjing City (1,316) and Shaanxi Union (1,412).

Nanjing City win33 %
Draw27 %
Shaanxi Union win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nanjing City have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Shaanxi Union have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nanjing City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Shenzhen Juniors(away)1-3League One
Aug 16, 2026Heilongjiang Lava Spring(home)1-1League One
Aug 8, 2026Nantong Zhiyun(home)1-1League One
Aug 1, 2026Yanbian Longding(away)1-1League One
Jul 25, 2026Changchun Yatai(away)1-2League One
Shaanxi Union
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Nantong Zhiyun(away)1-4League One
Aug 14, 2026Changchun Yatai(home)2-1League One
Aug 8, 2026Hebei Kungfu(away)1-2League One
Aug 1, 2026Dalian Huayi(away)2-2League One
Jul 25, 2026Shenzhen Juniors(home)3-0League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Nanjing City win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Shaanxi Union win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 29, 2026Shaanxi Union 0-1 Nanjing CityLeague One
Aug 9, 2025Nanjing City 3-3 Shaanxi UnionLeague One
Apr 22, 2025Shaanxi Union 1-1 Nanjing CityLeague One

Last archived meeting: Shaanxi Union vs Nanjing City on May 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nanjing City score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Shaanxi Union score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nanjing City1.01.239/155/15
Shaanxi Union1.81.357/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nanjing City sit 12th in League One (21 points from 20 matches) and Shaanxi Union sit 6th (26 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Shaanxi Union19757282126
12Nanjing City20569192421

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nanjing City vs Shaanxi Union?
The Footlab model makes Shaanxi Union the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Nanjing City.
Where and when is Nanjing City vs Shaanxi Union played?
Nanjing City vs Shaanxi Union is played on October 7, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC), in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Nanjing City and Shaanxi Union

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