Naval 1893 vs Benfica Castelo Branco: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 15Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal José Bento Pessoa, Figueira da Foz
The Footlab AI model makes Naval 1893 the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Benfica Castelo Branco. The most likely score is 1-1. If Naval 1893 wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naval 1893 vs Benfica Castelo Branco?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Naval 1893 (1,825) and Benfica Castelo Branco (1,842).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Naval 1893 vs Benfica Castelo Branco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Naval 1893
Not enough data to predict the Naval 1893 lineup.
Benfica Castelo Branco
4-3-3- 85N. Gaspar
- 16A. Vagarinho
- 11Sacra
- 23G. Isaias
- 6David Peres
- 21J. Cruz
- 2Pedro Vieira
- 4P. Correia
- 15F. Celestino
- 22D. Preto
- 1D. Romana
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 02:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naval 1893 have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Benfica Castelo Branco have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | O Elvas(away) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mortágua(home) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | AD Nogueirense(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Alverca II(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | O Elvas(home) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mortágua(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 13, 2026 | AD Nogueirense(home) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | FC Alverca II(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Naval 1893 wins, 0 draws, 2 Benfica Castelo Branco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco 1-4 Naval 1893 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Naval 1893 1-0 Benfica Castelo Branco | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Benfica Castelo Branco 1-0 Naval 1893 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Benfica Castelo Branco 8-0 Naval 1893 | Taça de Portugal |
Last archived meeting: Benfica Castelo Branco vs Naval 1893 on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Naval 1893 score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Benfica Castelo Branco score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naval 1893 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Benfica Castelo Branco | 1.3 | 1.6 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naval 1893 sit 8th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (7 points from 6 matches) and Benfica Castelo Branco sit 6th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
| 8 | Naval 1893 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Naval 1893 vs Benfica Castelo Branco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naval 1893 vs Benfica Castelo Branco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Naval 1893 the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Benfica Castelo Branco.
- Where and when is Naval 1893 vs Benfica Castelo Branco played?
- Naval 1893 vs Benfica Castelo Branco is played on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal José Bento Pessoa, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.