Atlético Malveira vs Fátima: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 15Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio das Seixas, Malveira, Mafra
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Malveira the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Fátima. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Malveira wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,591 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Malveira vs Fátima?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Atlético Malveira (1,850) and Fátima (1,817).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atlético Malveira vs Fátima
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atlético Malveira
Not enough data to predict the Atlético Malveira lineup.
Fátima
Not enough data to predict the Fátima lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Malveira have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Fátima have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fazendense(home) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sertanense(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Nazarenos(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Mafra(home) | 2-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Fátima(away) | 0-5 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nazarenos(home) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vinhais(home) | 4-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Oliveira Hospital(home) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Os Marialvas(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco(home) | 3-1 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Atlético Malveira wins, 0 draws, 1 Fátima win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Fátima 5-0 Atlético Malveira | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Fátima vs Atlético Malveira on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Malveira score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Fátima score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Malveira | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Fátima | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Malveira sit 10th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (4 points from 4 matches) and Fátima sit 9th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Fátima | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Atlético Malveira | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
A question about Atlético Malveira vs Fátima?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Malveira vs Fátima?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Malveira the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Fátima.
- Where and when is Atlético Malveira vs Fátima played?
- Atlético Malveira vs Fátima is played on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio das Seixas, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.