O Elvas vs Nazarenos: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 15Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino, Elvas
The Footlab AI model makes O Elvas the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Nazarenos. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win O Elvas vs Nazarenos?
O Elvas starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,915 vs 1,769).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for O Elvas vs Nazarenos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
O Elvas
Not enough data to predict the O Elvas lineup.
Nazarenos
Not enough data to predict the Nazarenos lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, O Elvas have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Nazarenos have 2, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Naval 1893(home) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco(away) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | UD da Serra(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sertanense(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sertanense(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Oliveira Hospital(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fátima(away) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Os Marialvas(home) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 O Elvas win, 0 draws, 0 Nazarenos wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nazarenos 0-1 O Elvas | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
O Elvas score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nazarenos score 0.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O Elvas | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Nazarenos | 0.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 3/10 | 5/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
O Elvas sit 3rd in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (13 points from 6 matches) and Nazarenos sit 13th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | O Elvas | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 13 | Nazarenos | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
A question about O Elvas vs Nazarenos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for O Elvas vs Nazarenos?
- The Footlab AI model makes O Elvas the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Nazarenos.
- Where and when is O Elvas vs Nazarenos played?
- O Elvas vs Nazarenos is played on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.