O Elvas vs Nazarenos: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 15Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino, Elvas
The Footlab AI model makes O Elvas the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Nazarenos. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,481 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win O Elvas vs Nazarenos?
O Elvas starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,915 vs 1,769).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for O Elvas vs Nazarenos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
O Elvas
Not enough data to predict the O Elvas lineup.
Nazarenos
Not enough data to predict the Nazarenos lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 11:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, O Elvas have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Nazarenos have 2, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Naval 1893(home) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco(away) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | UD da Serra(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sertanense(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sertanense(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Oliveira Hospital(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fátima(away) | 3-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Os Marialvas(home) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 O Elvas win, 0 draws, 0 Nazarenos wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nazarenos 0-1 O Elvas | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
O Elvas score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nazarenos score 0.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O Elvas | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Nazarenos | 0.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 3/10 | 5/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
O Elvas sit 3rd in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (13 points from 6 matches) and Nazarenos sit 13th (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | O Elvas | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
| 13 | Nazarenos | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
A question about O Elvas vs Nazarenos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for O Elvas vs Nazarenos?
- The Footlab AI model makes O Elvas the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Nazarenos.
- Where and when is O Elvas vs Nazarenos played?
- O Elvas vs Nazarenos is played on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.