Oliveira Hospital vs Os Marialvas: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 15Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Tábua, Tábua
The Footlab model makes Oliveira Hospital the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Os Marialvas. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oliveira Hospital vs Os Marialvas?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Oliveira Hospital (1,885) and Os Marialvas (1,808).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oliveira Hospital have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Os Marialvas have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Os Marialvas(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco(home) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| May 31, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(home) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| May 23, 2026 | Louletano(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| May 17, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(away) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Oliveira Hospital(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Jul 22, 2026 | União Lamas(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Lajense(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Naval 1893(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Oliveira Hospital win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Os Marialvas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Os Marialvas 1-2 Oliveira Hospital | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Oliveira Hospital 1-1 Os Marialvas | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Os Marialvas 0-1 Oliveira Hospital | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Os Marialvas vs Oliveira Hospital on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oliveira Hospital score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Os Marialvas score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliveira Hospital | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Os Marialvas | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oliveira Hospital sit 6th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (3 points from 2 matches) and Os Marialvas sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Oliveira Hospital | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Os Marialvas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oliveira Hospital vs Os Marialvas?
- The Footlab model makes Oliveira Hospital the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Os Marialvas.
- Where and when is Oliveira Hospital vs Os Marialvas played?
- Oliveira Hospital vs Os Marialvas is played on January 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Tábua, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.