Match

New England Revolution vs Inter Miami: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 2, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

New England RevolutionInter Miami

The Footlab model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for New England Revolution. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win New England Revolution vs Inter Miami?

Inter Miami starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,909 vs 1,735).

New England Revolution win37 %
Draw24 %
Inter Miami win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New England Revolution have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Inter Miami have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

New England Revolution
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026New York City FC(home)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026DC United(away)3-0Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026Toronto FC(away)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 8, 2026Houston Dynamo(home)0-2Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026CF Montreal(away)2-2Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Toronto FC(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026Philadelphia Union(away)2-2Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026Nashville SC(away)1-4Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026Leon(home)2-3Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026Monterrey(home)1-2Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 New England Revolution win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Inter Miami win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Inter Miami 1-1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
Oct 4, 2025Inter Miami 4-1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
Jul 9, 2025New England Revolution 1-2 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
Oct 20, 2024Inter Miami 6-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
Apr 27, 2024New England Revolution 1-4 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
Jun 10, 2023New England Revolution 3-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Inter Miami vs New England Revolution on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

New England Revolution score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Inter Miami score 2.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
New England Revolution1.51.339/159/15
Inter Miami2.52.2213/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

New England Revolution sit 4th in Major League Soccer (33 points from 20 matches) and Inter Miami sit 2nd (39 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Inter Miami211164494039
4New England Revolution201037322533

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for New England Revolution vs Inter Miami?
The Footlab model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for New England Revolution.
Where and when is New England Revolution vs Inter Miami played?
New England Revolution vs Inter Miami is played on November 2, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Gillette Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: New England Revolution and Inter Miami

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