New England Revolution vs Inter Miami: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 2, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts
The Footlab model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for New England Revolution. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win New England Revolution vs Inter Miami?
Inter Miami starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,909 vs 1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, New England Revolution have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Inter Miami have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | New York City FC(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | DC United(away) | 3-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Toronto FC(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Toronto FC(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Philadelphia Union(away) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nashville SC(away) | 1-4 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Leon(home) | 2-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Monterrey(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 New England Revolution win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Inter Miami win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Inter Miami 1-1 New England Revolution | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Inter Miami 4-1 New England Revolution | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 9, 2025 | New England Revolution 1-2 Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Inter Miami 6-2 New England Revolution | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 27, 2024 | New England Revolution 1-4 Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 10, 2023 | New England Revolution 3-1 Inter Miami | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Inter Miami vs New England Revolution on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
New England Revolution score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Inter Miami score 2.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Inter Miami | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
New England Revolution sit 4th in Major League Soccer (33 points from 20 matches) and Inter Miami sit 2nd (39 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter Miami | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 49 | 40 | 39 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for New England Revolution vs Inter Miami?
- The Footlab model makes Inter Miami the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for New England Revolution.
- Where and when is New England Revolution vs Inter Miami played?
- New England Revolution vs Inter Miami is played on November 2, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Gillette Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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