Newcastle vs Everton: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Everton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Newcastle wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Newcastle (2,240) and Everton (2,214).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newcastle vs Everton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newcastle
4-2-3-1- 9Y. Wissa
- 11H. Barnes
- 67L. Miley
- 23J. Murphy
- 28J. Willock
- 20M. Fernandez-Pardo
- 4S. Botman
- 3L. Hall
- 12M. Thiaw
- 37A. Dedić
- 21L. Horníček
Everton
4-2-3-1- 11T. Barry
- 8K. Dewsbury-Hall
- 37J. Garner
- 45H. Armstrong
- 22B. Johnson
- 10J. Grealish
- 16V. Mykolenko
- 6J. Tarkowski
- 4J. Branthwaite
- 2A. Maitland-Niles
- 1J. Pickford
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newcastle have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Everton have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hull City(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Millwall(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Newcastle win, 2 draws, 3 Everton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Newcastle 1-3 Everton | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Newcastle 2-3 Everton | Premier League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Everton 1-4 Newcastle | Premier League |
| May 25, 2025 | Newcastle 0-1 Everton | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Everton 0-0 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Newcastle 1-1 Everton | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Newcastle score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Everton score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Everton | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newcastle sit 9th in Premier League (8 points from 5 matches) and Everton sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Newcastle vs Everton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newcastle vs Everton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newcastle the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Everton.
- Where and when is Newcastle vs Everton played?
- Newcastle vs Everton is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at St. James' Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.