Oldham vs York: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boundary Park, Oldham, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes York the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Oldham. The most likely score is 1-1. If York wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oldham vs York?
York starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,950 vs 1,783).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oldham vs York
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oldham
4-2-3-1- 9M. Fondop-Talum
- 8O. Norburn
- 7K. Appiah-Forson
- 10C. Kavanagh
- 14N. Chilvers
- 17F. Fawunmi
- 24L. Temple
- 3J. Robson
- 2G. Scott-Morriss
- 6E. Monthe
- 1M. Hudson
York
3-4-2-1- 10O. Pearce
- 28O. Banks
- 8A. Hunt
- 30A. Newby
- 7J. Grey
- 12H. Boyes
- 23J. Felix
- 3M. Kitching
- 2R. Fallowfield
- 5Z. Johnson
- 1Alfie Shane McNally
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oldham have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; York have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 4-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Newcastle United U21(home) | 1-3 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Oldham wins, 2 draws, 1 York win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2025 | York 0-3 Oldham | National League |
| Apr 21, 2025 | York 1-1 Oldham | National League |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Oldham 0-2 York | National League |
| Feb 20, 2024 | York 1-1 Oldham | National League |
| Sep 19, 2023 | Oldham 2-0 York | National League |
| Jan 24, 2023 | Oldham 2-0 York | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Oldham score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; York score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oldham | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| York | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oldham sit 21st in League Two (8 points from 9 matches) and York sit 5th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | York | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 15 |
| 21 | Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Oldham vs York?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oldham vs York?
- The Footlab AI model makes York the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Oldham.
- Where and when is Oldham vs York played?
- Oldham vs York is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boundary Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.