NIGELEC vs MC Alger: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Général Seyni Kountché, Niamey
The Footlab model makes MC Alger the favourite at 34%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for NIGELEC. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NIGELEC vs MC Alger?
MC Alger is a heavy favourite: 2,006 Elo points against 1,532 — a 474-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, NIGELEC have 2 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; MC Alger have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | Olympique Safi(away) | 0-5 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Olympique Safi(home) | 0-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Nov 9, 2022 | Pyramids FC(away) | 0-3 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Nov 2, 2022 | Pyramids FC(home) | 1-0 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Raja Casablanca(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 5, 2026 | ASO Chlef(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 20, 2026 | ES Setif(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
NIGELEC score 0.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 8; MC Alger score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIGELEC | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 1/8 | 3/8 |
| MC Alger | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | MC Alger | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NIGELEC vs MC Alger?
- The Footlab model makes MC Alger the favourite at 34%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for NIGELEC.
- Where and when is NIGELEC vs MC Alger played?
- NIGELEC vs MC Alger is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Général Seyni Kountché, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.