Nigeria vs Madagascar: result 2-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Godswill Akpabio International Stadium, Uyo
Full time
What was the result of Nigeria vs Madagascar?
Nigeria won 2-1 on September 25, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 16′E. KariMadagascar
- 45′G. IlenikhenaNigeria
- 65′M. UsorNigeria
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Nigeria win at 80%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Nigeria vs Madagascar
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Nigeria
4-4-2- 22A. Adams
- 9G. Ilenikhena
- 7A. Lookman
- 17A. Iwobi
- 4W. Ndidi
- 11S. Chukwueze
- 3S. Onyemaechi
- 21C. Bassey
- 6S. Ajayi
- 2O. Aina
- 23S. Nwabali
Madagascar
4-2-3-1- 19H. Abdallah
- 10El Hadari
- 7R. Raveloson
- 11R. Ponti
- 6M. Ilaimaharitra
- 14C. Couturier
- 3M. Jean-Pierre
- 5S. Trémoulet
- 15E. Kari
- 22M. Acapandié
- 1G. Dupire
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nigeria have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Madagascar have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2026 | Portugal(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Poland(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| May 30, 2026 | Jamaica(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| May 26, 2026 | Zimbabwe(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Jordan(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2026 | Morocco(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Equatorial Guinea(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Kyrgyzstan(away) | 5-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Equatorial Guinea(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Mali(away) | 1-4 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Nigeria wins, 0 draws, 1 Madagascar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2019 | Madagascar 2-0 Nigeria | Africa Cup of Nations |
Last archived meeting: Madagascar vs Nigeria on Jun 30, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Nigeria score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Madagascar score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigeria | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Madagascar | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nigeria sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (3 points from 2 matches) and Madagascar sit 4th (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nigeria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Madagascar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Nigeria vs Madagascar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy