Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II: prediction and stats
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 10, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Hiiu staadion, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes Flora II the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Nõmme Kalju II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II?
Flora II starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,374 vs 1,170).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nõmme Kalju II have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Flora II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tartu Welco(home) | 2-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev(home) | 0-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Nõmme United II(away) | 0-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Flora II(away) | 0-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maardu(home) | 1-4 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Elva(away) | 0-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Viimsi(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tartu Welco(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(home) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Tallinn(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nõmme Kalju II win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Flora II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | Flora II 3-0 Nõmme Kalju II | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II 0-5 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Flora II 3-1 Nõmme Kalju II | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Nõmme Kalju II 3-0 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Flora II 1-2 Nõmme Kalju II | Esiliiga A |
| May 19, 2025 | Flora II 3-0 Nõmme Kalju II | Esiliiga A |
Last archived meeting: Flora II vs Nõmme Kalju II on Aug 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nõmme Kalju II score 1.1 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Flora II score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nõmme Kalju II | 1.1 | 2.9 | 0 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Flora II | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nõmme Kalju II sit 7th in Esiliiga A (17 points from 15 matches) and Flora II sit 3rd (26 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Flora II | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 24 | 26 |
| 3 | Flora II | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 42 | 41 |
| 7 | Nõmme Kalju II | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 17 |
| 10 | Nõmme Kalju II | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 67 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II?
- The Footlab model makes Flora II the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Nõmme Kalju II.
- Where and when is Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II played?
- Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II is played on September 10, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Hiiu staadion, in the Esiliiga A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.