Where and when is Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków played?

Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, Luzino

Luzino

Noteć Czarnków

The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Noteć Czarnków. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków?

Luzino starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,891 vs 1,789).

Luzino win60 %

Draw20 %

Noteć Czarnków win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luzino have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Noteć Czarnków have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Luzino
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Victoria Września(away)	3-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(away)	6-2	III Liga - Group 2

Noteć Czarnków
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Elana Toruń(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kalisz(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(away)	3-5	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Luzino win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Noteć Czarnków win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 21, 2026	Luzino 3-0 Noteć Czarnków	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 31, 2025	Noteć Czarnków 0-2 Luzino	III Liga - Group 2
Mar 29, 2024	Luzino 1-2 Noteć Czarnków	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 2, 2023	Noteć Czarnków 5-2 Luzino	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Noteć Czarnków score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Luzino	2.3	1.3	3	10/15	10/15
Noteć Czarnków	1.7	1.3	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Luzino sit 4th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Noteć Czarnków sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Luzino	5	3	1	1	14	7	10
7	Noteć Czarnków	5	3	0	2	10	8	9

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków?: The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Noteć Czarnków.
Where and when is Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków played?: Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.