Notts County vs Mansfield Town: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Notts County the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Mansfield Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Notts County wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Notts County vs Mansfield Town?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Notts County (1,854) and Mansfield Town (1,848).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Notts County vs Mansfield Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Notts County
3-4-2-1- 9D. Kanu
- 8O. Cooper
- 18M. Palmer
- 26I. Samuels-Smith
- 14D. Lipsiuc
- 7C. Roberts
- 15J. Evans
- 12L. Ness
- 4J. Bedeau
- 3R. McDonald
- 1J. Gibbons
Mansfield Town
3-1-4-2- 14M. Smith
- 18R. Oates
- 25L. Reed
- 16L. Thompson
- 22N. Moriah-Welsh
- 13J. Russell
- 3S. McLaughlin
- 5R. Sweeney
- 23A. Oshilaja
- 4E. Hewitt
- 1L. Roberts
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notts County have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Mansfield Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 5-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Reading(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 0-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Notts County win, 1 draw, 4 Mansfield Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2024 | Mansfield Town 1-0 Notts County | League Two |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Notts County 1-4 Mansfield Town | League Two |
| Feb 16, 2019 | Notts County 1-0 Mansfield Town | League Two |
| Dec 8, 2018 | Mansfield Town 2-0 Notts County | League Two |
| Mar 17, 2018 | Notts County 1-1 Mansfield Town | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2017 | Notts County 1-2 Mansfield Town | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Mansfield Town vs Notts County on Feb 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Notts County score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Mansfield Town score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Mansfield Town | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Notts County sit 22nd in League One (7 points from 8 matches) and Mansfield Town sit 11th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
| 22 | Notts County | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Notts County vs Mansfield Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Notts County vs Mansfield Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Notts County the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Mansfield Town.
- Where and when is Notts County vs Mansfield Town played?
- Notts County vs Mansfield Town is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Meadow Lane, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.