Nouadhibou vs Vipers: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal de Nouadhibou, Nouadhibou
The Footlab model makes Nouadhibou the favourite at 59%, against 27% for a draw and 14% for Vipers. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nouadhibou vs Vipers?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Nouadhibou (1,849) and Vipers (1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nouadhibou have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Vipers have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Inter Nouakchott(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Nouakchott King's(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Police(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| May 4, 2026 | AC Douane(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kaédi(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | APR(away) | 1-2 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 27, 2026 | GOR Mahia(away) | 1-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Al-Haras Al-Jumhuri(home) | 3-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| May 23, 2026 | Express(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 19, 2026 | Maroons(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Nouadhibou score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vipers score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nouadhibou | 2.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Vipers | 1.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nouadhibou vs Vipers?
- The Footlab model makes Nouadhibou the favourite at 59%, against 27% for a draw and 14% for Vipers.
- Where and when is Nouadhibou vs Vipers played?
- Nouadhibou vs Vipers is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal de Nouadhibou, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.