Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio República de Mataderos, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Nueva Chicago the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Gimnasia Jujuy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Nueva Chicago (1,720) and Gimnasia Jujuy (1,803).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nueva Chicago have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Gimnasia Jujuy have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlanta(home) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 17, 2026 | All Boys(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Patronato(away) | 3-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chaco For Ever(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Tristan Suarez(home) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Quilmes(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colegiales(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nueva Chicago win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Gimnasia Jujuy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy 4-0 Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Nueva Chicago 1-0 Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional |
| May 10, 2025 | Gimnasia Jujuy 2-1 Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 27, 2022 | Gimnasia Jujuy 2-0 Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional |
| Feb 10, 2019 | Gimnasia Jujuy 1-2 Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional |
| Dec 2, 2017 | Nueva Chicago 1-1 Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Gimnasia Jujuy vs Nueva Chicago on Jun 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nueva Chicago score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnasia Jujuy score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nueva Chicago | 0.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nueva Chicago sit 14th in Primera Nacional (29 points from 25 matches) and Gimnasia Jujuy sit 2nd (45 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 45 |
| 14 | Nueva Chicago | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 24 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
- The Footlab model makes Nueva Chicago the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Gimnasia Jujuy.
- Where and when is Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy played?
- Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio República de Mataderos, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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