Oakleigh Cannons vs Dandenong City: prediction and stats
Victoria NPLRegular Season - 26Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Jack Edwards Reserve, Melbourne
The Footlab model makes Oakleigh Cannons the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Dandenong City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oakleigh Cannons vs Dandenong City?
Oakleigh Cannons starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (2,001 vs 1,850).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oakleigh Cannons have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Dandenong City have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dandenong Thunder(away) | 5-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Green Gully(home) | 4-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bentleigh Greens(away) | 0-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Jul 24, 2026 | South Melbourne(home) | 1-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Hume City(away) | 1-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Preston Lions(home) | 0-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Altona Magic(home) | 2-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dandenong Thunder(away) | 3-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Green Gully(away) | 0-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Bentleigh Greens(away) | 1-2 | Victoria NPL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oakleigh Cannons win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Dandenong City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Dandenong City 1-1 Oakleigh Cannons | Victoria NPL |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Dandenong City 1-0 Oakleigh Cannons | Victoria NPL |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Oakleigh Cannons 3-0 Dandenong City | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Oakleigh Cannons 4-1 Dandenong City | Victoria NPL |
| Jun 10, 2024 | Oakleigh Cannons 0-2 Dandenong City | Victoria NPL |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Dandenong City 1-1 Oakleigh Cannons | Victoria NPL |
Last archived meeting: Dandenong City vs Oakleigh Cannons on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oakleigh Cannons score 2.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dandenong City score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakleigh Cannons | 2.1 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Dandenong City | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oakleigh Cannons sit 1st in Victoria NPL (54 points from 25 matches) and Dandenong City sit 8th (34 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 54 | 21 | 54 |
| 8 | Dandenong City | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 29 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oakleigh Cannons vs Dandenong City?
- The Footlab model makes Oakleigh Cannons the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Dandenong City.
- Where and when is Oakleigh Cannons vs Dandenong City played?
- Oakleigh Cannons vs Dandenong City is played on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Jack Edwards Reserve, in the Victoria NPL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.