Preston Lions vs Altona Magic: prediction and stats
Victoria NPLRegular Season - 26Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)B.T. Connor Reserve, Melbourne
The Footlab model makes Preston Lions the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for Altona Magic. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Preston Lions vs Altona Magic?
Preston Lions starts as the favourite with a 236-point Elo edge (1,961 vs 1,725).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Preston Lions have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Altona Magic have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dandenong City(away) | 0-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Melbourne City II(home) | 4-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dandenong Thunder(home) | 3-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Brunswick Juventus FC(away) | 4-1 | Australia Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Green Gully(home) | 2-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avondale(home) | 0-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Dandenong City(away) | 0-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sunshine Georgies(home) | 1-1 | Victoria NPL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dandenong Thunder(away) | 2-0 | Victoria NPL |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Heidelberg United(home) | 0-0 | Victoria NPL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Preston Lions win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Altona Magic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Altona Magic 1-0 Preston Lions | Victoria NPL |
| May 31, 2025 | Altona Magic 0-2 Preston Lions | Victoria NPL |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Preston Lions 1-0 Altona Magic | Victoria NPL |
Last archived meeting: Altona Magic vs Preston Lions on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Preston Lions score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Altona Magic score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Lions | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Altona Magic | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Preston Lions sit 2nd in Victoria NPL (50 points from 25 matches) and Altona Magic sit 11th (27 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Preston Lions | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 18 | 50 |
| 11 | Altona Magic | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 41 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Preston Lions vs Altona Magic?
- The Footlab model makes Preston Lions the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for Altona Magic.
- Where and when is Preston Lions vs Altona Magic played?
- Preston Lions vs Altona Magic is played on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at B.T. Connor Reserve, in the Victoria NPL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.