Where and when is Łomża vs Olimpia Elbląg played?

Łomża vs Olimpia Elbląg is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Łomża vs Olimpia Elbląg: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Łomża

Łomża

Olimpia Elbląg

The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Łomża vs Olimpia Elbląg?

Łomża starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,635).

Łomża win68 %

Draw19 %

Olimpia Elbląg win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Łomża have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Olimpia Elbląg have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Łomża
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Mławianka Mława(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Wisła Płock II(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away)	2-5	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Weszlo(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1

Olimpia Elbląg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Widzew II(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home)	4-2	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026	Wisła Płock II(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Łomża win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Olimpia Elbląg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	Olimpia Elbląg 0-3 Łomża	III Liga - Group 1
Sep 6, 2025	Łomża 3-0 Olimpia Elbląg	III Liga - Group 1
Jul 6, 2024	Olimpia Elbląg 1-1 Łomża	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 20, 2024	Olimpia Elbląg 2-0 Łomża	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Olimpia Elbląg vs Łomża on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Elbląg score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Łomża	1.7	1.3	5	8/15	8/15
Olimpia Elbląg	1.1	1.9	1	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Łomża sit 15th in III Liga - Group 1 (2 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Elbląg sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Olimpia Elbląg	5	2	1	2	9	9	7
15	Łomża	5	0	2	3	5	10	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Łomża vs Olimpia Elbląg?: The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 68%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Olimpia Elbląg.
Where and when is Łomża vs Olimpia Elbląg played?: Łomża vs Olimpia Elbląg is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.