Olimpia Grudziądz vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Bronisława Malinowskiego, Grudziądz
The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Olimpia Grudziądz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olimpia Grudziądz vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Olimpia Grudziądz (1,922) and Zawisza Bydgoszcz (1,979).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Grudziądz have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Zawisza Bydgoszcz have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 5-3 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(away) | 2-2 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(away) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(home) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Resovia Rzeszów(home) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sokół Kleczew(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Olimpia Grudziądz win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Zawisza Bydgoszcz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1-5 Olimpia Grudziądz | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2023 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1-0 Olimpia Grudziądz | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Olimpia Grudziądz 1-1 Zawisza Bydgoszcz | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Olimpia Grudziądz 3-1 Zawisza Bydgoszcz | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 18, 2021 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz 0-2 Olimpia Grudziądz | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Olimpia Grudziądz on Feb 10, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Olimpia Grudziądz score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Zawisza Bydgoszcz score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Grudziądz | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olimpia Grudziądz sit 7th in II Liga - East (8 points from 5 matches) and Zawisza Bydgoszcz sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olimpia Grudziądz vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz?
- The Footlab model makes Zawisza Bydgoszcz the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Olimpia Grudziądz.
- Where and when is Olimpia Grudziądz vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz played?
- Olimpia Grudziądz vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz is played on October 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Bronisława Malinowskiego, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026Sandecja Nowy SączvsLechia Zielona Góra
- Oct 3, 2026Górnik ŁęcznavsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Oct 3, 2026Hutnik KrakówvsTychy 71
- Oct 3, 2026Resovia RzeszówvsAvia Świdnik
- Oct 3, 2026Znicz PruszkówvsStal Stalowa Wola
- Oct 3, 2026Podhale Nowy TargvsRekord Bielsko-Biała
- Oct 3, 2026Śląsk Wrocław IIvsLegia Warszawa II
- Oct 3, 2026Świt SkolwinvsSokół Kleczew