Match

Olimpia Zambrów vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Zambrów

Olimpia ZambrówMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

The Footlab model makes Olimpia Zambrów the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Olimpia Zambrów vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Olimpia Zambrów (1,703) and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (1,751).

Olimpia Zambrów win40 %
Draw22 %
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Zambrów have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have 3, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Olimpia Zambrów
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wisła Płock II(home)4-3III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away)3-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026Olimpia Elbląg(home)1-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Swit(away)0-4III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(home)5-0III Liga - Group 1
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Olimpia Elbląg(home)2-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026Swit(away)2-1III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026Ząbkovia Ząbki(home)3-2III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026Troszyn(away)4-1III Liga - Group 1
Jul 31, 2026Jagiellonia II(home)2-3III Liga - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Olimpia Zambrów score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki score 2.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Olimpia Zambrów1.91.928/1512/15
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki2.31.806/66/6

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Olimpia Zambrów sit 7th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki531113910
7Olimpia Zambrów530213119

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Olimpia Zambrów vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?
The Footlab model makes Olimpia Zambrów the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.
Where and when is Olimpia Zambrów vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki played?
Olimpia Zambrów vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Olimpia Zambrów and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

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