Olimpia Zambrów vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Zambrów
The Footlab model makes Olimpia Zambrów the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olimpia Zambrów vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Olimpia Zambrów (1,703) and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Zambrów have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki have 3, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Swit(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 5-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Swit(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Troszyn(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Olimpia Zambrów score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki score 2.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Zambrów | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0 | 6/6 | 6/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olimpia Zambrów sit 7th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 10 |
| 7 | Olimpia Zambrów | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olimpia Zambrów vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki?
- The Footlab model makes Olimpia Zambrów the favourite at 40%, against 22% for a draw and 38% for Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.
- Where and when is Olimpia Zambrów vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki played?
- Olimpia Zambrów vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsWarta Sieradz
- Mar 27, 2027SwitvsPelikan Łowicz
- Mar 27, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsŁomża
- Mar 27, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsMławianka Mława
- Mar 27, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsWidzew II
- Mar 27, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsWigry Suwałki
- Mar 27, 2027TroszynvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Mar 27, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsWeszlo