Where and when is Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Wigry Suwałki played?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Wigry Suwałki is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Wigry Suwałki: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.

Wigry Suwałki

The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Wigry Suwałki?

Wigry Suwałki starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,665).

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. win24 %

Draw23 %

Wigry Suwałki win53 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Wigry Suwałki have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Widzew II(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Wisła Płock II(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Olimpia Elbląg(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Swit(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

Wigry Suwałki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Swit(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Ząbkovia Ząbki(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Troszyn(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Jagiellonia II(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026	ŁKS Łódź II(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Polonia Lidzbark Warm. win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Wigry Suwałki win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 29, 2025	Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 0-0 Wigry Suwałki	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 30, 2024	Wigry Suwałki 1-1 Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	III Liga - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Wigry Suwałki on Mar 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	1.2	1.8	3	10/15	9/15
Wigry Suwałki	1.6	0.7	7	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. sit 16th in III Liga - Group 1 (1 points from 5 matches) and Wigry Suwałki sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Wigry Suwałki	5	2	3	0	5	2	9
16	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	5	0	1	4	7	14	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Wigry Suwałki?: The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm..
Where and when is Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Wigry Suwałki played?: Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Wigry Suwałki is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.