Olimpia Elbląg vs Warta Sieradz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Elbląg
The Footlab AI model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Olimpia Elbląg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Warta Sieradz wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,822 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olimpia Elbląg vs Warta Sieradz?
Warta Sieradz starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,767 vs 1,588).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Olimpia Elbląg vs Warta Sieradz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Olimpia Elbląg
Not enough data to predict the Olimpia Elbląg lineup.
Warta Sieradz
Not enough data to predict the Warta Sieradz lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 05:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Elbląg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Warta Sieradz have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Łomża(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Olimpia Elbląg wins, 0 draws, 3 Warta Sieradz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Warta Sieradz 4-1 Olimpia Elbląg | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Warta Sieradz 4-1 Olimpia Elbląg | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Olimpia Elbląg 0-2 Warta Sieradz | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg on Sep 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olimpia Elbląg score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Warta Sieradz score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Elbląg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Warta Sieradz | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olimpia Elbląg sit 10th in III Liga - Group 1 (18 points from 14 matches) and Warta Sieradz sit 8th (22 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warta Sieradz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 22 |
| 10 | Olimpia Elbląg | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 18 |
A question about Olimpia Elbląg vs Warta Sieradz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olimpia Elbląg vs Warta Sieradz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Warta Sieradz the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Olimpia Elbląg.
- Where and when is Olimpia Elbląg vs Warta Sieradz played?
- Olimpia Elbląg vs Warta Sieradz is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Mar 27, 2027SwitvsPelikan Łowicz
- Mar 27, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsŁomża
- Mar 27, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsMławianka Mława
- Mar 27, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsWidzew II
- Mar 27, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsWigry Suwałki
- Mar 27, 2027TroszynvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Mar 27, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsWeszlo