Swit vs Pelikan Łowicz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
The Footlab model makes Swit the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Pelikan Łowicz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swit vs Pelikan Łowicz?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Swit (1,690) and Pelikan Łowicz (1,654).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swit have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Pelikan Łowicz have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Swit win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Pelikan Łowicz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz 2-1 Swit | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2025 | Swit 1-1 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Pelikan Łowicz 1-3 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Pelikan Łowicz 2-3 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Swit 1-1 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Swit 3-2 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Pelikan Łowicz vs Swit on Jul 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pelikan Łowicz score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swit | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Pelikan Łowicz | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swit sit 8th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Pelikan Łowicz sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pelikan Łowicz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Swit | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swit vs Pelikan Łowicz?
- The Footlab model makes Swit the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Pelikan Łowicz.
- Where and when is Swit vs Pelikan Łowicz played?
- Swit vs Pelikan Łowicz is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsWarta Sieradz
- Mar 27, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Mar 27, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsŁomża
- Mar 27, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsMławianka Mława
- Mar 27, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsWidzew II
- Mar 27, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsWigry Suwałki
- Mar 27, 2027TroszynvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Mar 27, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsWeszlo