Troszyn vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Piłkarski KS CK Troszyn, Troszyn
The Footlab model makes Troszyn the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Lechia T. Mazowiecki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Troszyn vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Troszyn (1,750) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki (1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Troszyn have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Lechia T. Mazowiecki have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Troszyn win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Lechia T. Mazowiecki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Troszyn 4-1 Lechia T. Mazowiecki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1-2 Troszyn | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Troszyn vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Troszyn score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia T. Mazowiecki score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troszyn | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Troszyn sit 17th in III Liga - Group 1 (1 points from 5 matches) and Lechia T. Mazowiecki sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Troszyn vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki?
- The Footlab model makes Troszyn the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Lechia T. Mazowiecki.
- Where and when is Troszyn vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki played?
- Troszyn vs Lechia T. Mazowiecki is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Piłkarski KS CK Troszyn, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027Olimpia ElblągvsWarta Sieradz
- Mar 27, 2027Olimpia ZambrówvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Mar 27, 2027SwitvsPelikan Łowicz
- Mar 27, 2027Jagiellonia IIvsŁomża
- Mar 27, 2027ŁKS Łódź IIvsMławianka Mława
- Mar 27, 2027Wisła Płock IIvsWidzew II
- Mar 27, 2027Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsWigry Suwałki
- Mar 27, 2027Ząbkovia ZąbkivsWeszlo