Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa LeagueLeague Stage - 3Kick-off on October 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki, Piraeus
The Footlab AI model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Sparta Praha. The most likely score is 1-1. If Olympiakos Piraeus wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Olympiakos Piraeus (2,184) and Sparta Praha (2,172).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Olympiakos Piraeus
4-2-3-1- 34A. González
- 20Jota Silva
- 22Chiquinho
- 19R. Freuler
- 32S. Hezze
- 7K. Fortounis
- 45P. Retsos
- 5L. Pirola
- 70S. Onyemaechi
- 2M. Saliakas
- 1S. Ortega
Sparta Praha
4-2-3-1- 14J. Braut Brunes
- 28R. Macek
- 10A. Karabec
- 17J. Mercado
- 38H. Sochurek
- 7J. Alcócer
- 6T. Guddal
- 22L. Mbe Soh
- 11M. Ryneš
- 2M. Suchomel
- 44J. Surovčík
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympiakos Piraeus have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Sparta Praha have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Levadiakos(away) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Jagiellonia(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | OFI(home) | 0-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Volos NFC(away) | 1-1 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Vysočina Jihlava(home) | 5-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 3-0 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FK Jablonec(home) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Viktoria Žižkov(away) | 5-0 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Olympiakos Piraeus score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Praha score 2.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Sparta Praha | 2.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olympiakos Piraeus sit 13th in UEFA Europa League (3 points from 1 match) and Sparta Praha sit 3rd (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
A question about Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha?
- The Footlab AI model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Sparta Praha.
- Where and when is Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha played?
- Olympiakos Piraeus vs Sparta Praha is played on October 22, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki, in the UEFA Europa League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.