Oman vs Saudi Arabia: prediction and stats
Asian CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on January 12, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sultan Qaboos Sport Complex, Masqaṭ (Muscat)
The Footlab model makes Oman the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Saudi Arabia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oman vs Saudi Arabia?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Oman (1,615) and Saudi Arabia (1,643).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oman have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Saudi Arabia have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Mozambique(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Indonesia(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Comoros(home) | 2-1 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Morocco(home) | 0-0 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Saudi Arabia(away) | 1-2 | Arab Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Cape Verde Islands(away) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Spain(away) | 0-4 | World Cup |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Uruguay(home) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Senegal(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Puerto Rico(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oman win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Saudi Arabia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | Saudi Arabia 2-1 Oman | Arab Cup |
| Dec 31, 2024 | Oman 2-1 Saudi Arabia | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Jan 16, 2024 | Saudi Arabia 2-1 Oman | Asian Cup |
| Jan 12, 2023 | Saudi Arabia 1-2 Oman | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Jan 27, 2022 | Saudi Arabia 1-0 Oman | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Sep 7, 2021 | Oman 0-1 Saudi Arabia | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
How many goals should we expect?
Oman score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Saudi Arabia score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oman | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Saudi Arabia | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oman vs Saudi Arabia?
- The Footlab model makes Oman the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Saudi Arabia.
- Where and when is Oman vs Saudi Arabia played?
- Oman vs Saudi Arabia is played on January 12, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sultan Qaboos Sport Complex, in the Asian Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.