North Korea vs Uzbekistan: prediction and stats
Asian CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on January 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mong Kok Stadium, Hong Kong
The Footlab model makes North Korea the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Uzbekistan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win North Korea vs Uzbekistan?
Uzbekistan starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (1,709 vs 1,496).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, North Korea have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Uzbekistan have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2025 | Iran(away) | 0-3 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Jun 5, 2025 | Kyrgyzstan(home) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Mar 25, 2025 | United Arab Emirates(home) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Qatar(away) | 1-5 | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Jordan(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Congo DR(away) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Portugal(away) | 0-5 | World Cup |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Colombia(home) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Netherlands(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Canada(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 North Korea win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Uzbekistan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024 | North Korea 0-1 Uzbekistan | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Uzbekistan 1-0 North Korea | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Jun 7, 2019 | Uzbekistan 4-0 North Korea | Friendlies |
| Oct 13, 2018 | Uzbekistan 2-0 North Korea | Friendlies |
| Nov 12, 2015 | Uzbekistan 3-1 North Korea | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Jun 16, 2015 | North Korea 4-2 Uzbekistan | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
Last archived meeting: North Korea vs Uzbekistan on Nov 19, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
North Korea score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Uzbekistan score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Korea | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Uzbekistan | 1.5 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for North Korea vs Uzbekistan?
- The Footlab model makes North Korea the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Uzbekistan.
- Where and when is North Korea vs Uzbekistan played?
- North Korea vs Uzbekistan is played on January 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Mong Kok Stadium, in the Asian Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.