Jordan vs Bahrain: prediction and stats
Asian CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on January 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Amman International Stadium, Amman
The Footlab AI model makes Jordan the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Bahrain. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jordan vs Bahrain?
Jordan starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,661 vs 1,485).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jordan vs Bahrain
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jordan
4-3-3- 9Ali Olwan
- 11Odeh Al Fakhouri
- 11O. Al Fakhouri
- 8Noor Al Rawabdeh
- 21Nizar Al Rashdan
- 20Mohannad Abu Taha
- 3Abdallah Naseeb
- 19Saed Al Rosan
- 2A. Badawi
- 5Yazan Al Arab
- 22Abdallah Al Fakhouri
Bahrain
4-2-3-1- 20M. Humaidan
- 7Ali Madan
- 8Mohamed Marhoon
- 10K. Al Aswad
- 4S. Dhiya
- 15Jassim Al Shaikh
- 2Amine Benaddi
- 3W. Al Hayam
- 23A. Al Khalasi
- 5Hamad Al Shamsan
- 22Ebrahim Lutfallah
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jordan have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Bahrain have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Venezuela(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Syria(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Argentina(home) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Algeria(home) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Austria(away) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | Yemen(home) | 2-5 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Sep 27, 2026 | United Arab Emirates(home) | 0-3 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Qatar(away) | 0-2 | Gulf Cup of Nations |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Georgia(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Sudan(home) | 3-1 | Arab Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Jordan wins, 1 draw, 1 Bahrain win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | Jordan 0-1 Bahrain | Asian Cup |
| Sep 7, 2021 | Bahrain 1-2 Jordan | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2021 | Jordan 2-1 Bahrain | Friendlies |
| Aug 29, 2017 | Bahrain 0-0 Jordan | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Jordan score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Bahrain score 0.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Bahrain | 0.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Jordan vs Bahrain?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jordan vs Bahrain?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jordan the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Bahrain.
- Where and when is Jordan vs Bahrain played?
- Jordan vs Bahrain is played on January 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Amman International Stadium, in the Asian Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.