Jordan vs Bahrain: prediction and stats
Asian CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on January 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Amman International Stadium, Amman
The Footlab model makes Jordan the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Bahrain. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jordan vs Bahrain?
Jordan starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,665 vs 1,536).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jordan have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Bahrain have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Argentina(home) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Algeria(home) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Austria(away) | 1-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Colombia(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| May 31, 2026 | Switzerland(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Georgia(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Sudan(home) | 3-1 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Algeria(home) | 1-5 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Iraq(away) | 1-2 | Arab Cup |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Djibouti(home) | 1-0 | Arab Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Jordan win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Bahrain win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | Jordan 0-1 Bahrain | Asian Cup |
| Sep 7, 2021 | Bahrain 1-2 Jordan | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2021 | Jordan 2-1 Bahrain | Friendlies |
| Aug 29, 2017 | Bahrain 0-0 Jordan | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Jordan score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bahrain score 0.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Bahrain | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jordan vs Bahrain?
- The Footlab model makes Jordan the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Bahrain.
- Where and when is Jordan vs Bahrain played?
- Jordan vs Bahrain is played on January 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Amman International Stadium, in the Asian Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.