Kyrgyzstan vs Iran: prediction and stats
Asian CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on January 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im. Dolena Omurzakova, Bishkek
The Footlab model makes Iran the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Kyrgyzstan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kyrgyzstan vs Iran?
Iran is a heavy favourite: 1,800 Elo points against 1,485 — a 315-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kyrgyzstan have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Iran have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Palestine(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Palestine(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Madagascar(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Equatorial Guinea(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Uzbekistan(away) | 0-4 | CAFA Nations Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Egypt(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Belgium(away) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 16, 2026 | New Zealand(home) | 2-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Mali(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| May 29, 2026 | Gambia(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Kyrgyzstan win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Iran win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024 | Kyrgyzstan 2-3 Iran | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Iran 1-0 Kyrgyzstan | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Jun 16, 2023 | Kyrgyzstan 1-5 Iran | CAFA Nations Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Kyrgyzstan score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Iran score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrgyzstan | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Iran | 1.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kyrgyzstan vs Iran?
- The Footlab model makes Iran the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Kyrgyzstan.
- Where and when is Kyrgyzstan vs Iran played?
- Kyrgyzstan vs Iran is played on January 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im. Dolena Omurzakova, in the Asian Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.