Vietnam vs South Korea: prediction and stats
Asian CupGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on January 15, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sân vận động Gò Đậu (Go Dau Stadium), Thủ Dầu Một (Thu Dau Mot)
The Footlab model makes South Korea the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Vietnam. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vietnam vs South Korea?
South Korea starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,764 vs 1,658).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vietnam have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; South Korea have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Thailand(away) | 2-0 | ASEAN Championship |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Malaysia(home) | 2-0 | ASEAN Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Malaysia(away) | 2-0 | ASEAN Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cambodia(home) | 3-1 | ASEAN Championship |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Indonesia(away) | 3-0 | ASEAN Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2026 | South Africa(away) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Mexico(away) | 0-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Czechia(home) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 4, 2026 | El Salvador(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| May 31, 2026 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Vietnam win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 South Korea win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2023 | South Korea 6-0 Vietnam | Friendlies |
Last archived meeting: South Korea vs Vietnam on Oct 17, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Vietnam score 2.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; South Korea score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vietnam | 2.7 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 9/15 |
| South Korea | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 2/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vietnam | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vietnam vs South Korea?
- The Footlab model makes South Korea the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Vietnam.
- Where and when is Vietnam vs South Korea played?
- Vietnam vs South Korea is played on January 15, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sân vận động Gò Đậu (Go Dau Stadium), in the Asian Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.