Osaka vs Kamatamare Sanuki: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka
The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Kamatamare Sanuki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osaka vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
Osaka starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,716 vs 1,592).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osaka have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Kamatamare Sanuki have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 4-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 4-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kochi United(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veroskronos Tsuno(away) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kitakyushu(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-0 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Osaka win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Kamatamare Sanuki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki 2-2 Osaka | J2/J3 League |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Osaka 0-1 Kamatamare Sanuki | J2/J3 League |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Osaka 2-1 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Kamatamare Sanuki 0-3 Osaka | J3 League |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Osaka 1-3 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Kamatamare Sanuki 0-1 Osaka | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Kamatamare Sanuki vs Osaka on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Osaka score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Kamatamare Sanuki score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osaka | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Kamatamare Sanuki | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Osaka sit 7th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Kamatamare Sanuki sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Osaka | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 9 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osaka vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
- The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Kamatamare Sanuki.
- Where and when is Osaka vs Kamatamare Sanuki played?
- Osaka vs Kamatamare Sanuki is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026KanazawavsKagoshima United
- Nov 21, 2026Matsumoto YamagavsFC Ryukyu
- Nov 21, 2026Renofa YamaguchivsBiwako Shiga
- Nov 21, 2026Roasso KumamotovsKitakyushu
- Nov 21, 2026Ehime FCvsFC Gifu
- Nov 21, 2026Thespakusatsu GunmavsTochigi SC
- Nov 21, 2026Gainare TottorivsParceiro Nagano
- Nov 21, 2026Kochi UnitedvsFukushima United